UKIP boost in battle to succeed Sir Peter

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The UKIP candidate for the Louth and Horncastle seat in next year’s General Election has said he is “very encouraged” by the latest prediction about the likely outcome.

According to three leading political academics, UKIP are just four points behind the Conservatives the race to succeed Sir Peter Tapsell.

The three are Chris Hanretty, Nick Vivyan and Benjamin Lauderdale who have produced the political website Election Forecast using polling and demographic data.

The trio estimate UKIP currently has 32% support in Louth and Horncastle, compared with 35% for the Conservatives, 22% for Labour and 6% for the Lib-Dems.

UKIP candidate and County Councillor Colin Mair said: “It is very encouraging but polls and polls and predictions are predications. We’ve got to keep the momentum going.”

Bookies Ladbrokes have further shortened their odds on Coun Mair taking Louth and Horncastle from 3-1 last month to 5/2. Victoria Atkin remains 2/7 odds-on favourite to retain the seat for the Conservatives. Labour is rated at 100-1 along the Lib Dems.